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Stocks Tumble

U.S. and European stocks tumbled, sending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index down the most in two months, as the World Bank said the recession will be deeper than previously forecast. Treasuries rose, while oil fell below $67 a barrel and metals slumped.

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. and Alcoa Inc. sank at least 8.9 percent, while BP Plc and Occidental Petroleum Corp. lost more than 3.8 percent amid the biggest retreat in the Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index of 19 raw materials in almost three weeks. Bank of America Corp. dropped 9.7 percent as two board members resigned. Both the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average erased their gains for the year.

“The worries are still out there,” said John Wilson, who helps oversee $120 billion as chief market technician at Morgan Keegan & Co. in Memphis, Tennessee. “Nobody is ready to get the trumpets out and herald the end of the recession.”

The S&P 500 slid 3.1 percent to 893.04 at 4:05 p.m. in New York following last week’s 2.6 percent slump. The Dow average sank 200.72 points, or 2.4 percent, to 8,339.01. Europe’s Dow Jones Stoxx 600 fell 2.8 percent and the MSCI World Index decreased 2.7 percent. Almost 14 stocks fell for each rising on the New York Stock Exchange, the broadest sell-off since May 13.

Stocks and commodities slid as the World Bank said unemployment and poverty will rise in developing nations and predicted a 2.9 percent contraction in the global economy this year. That compares with a prior estimate of a 1.7 percent decline. Growth is expected to return in 2010 at 2 percent, less than the 2.3 percent forecast about three months ago.

Rebound Pared

While the S&P 500 is still up 32 percent from a 12-year low on March 9, the index has fallen 5.6 percent since June 12. Executives at U.S. companies are taking advantage of the biggest stock-market rally in 71 years to sell their shares at the fastest pace since credit markets started to seize up two years ago. Insiders of S&P 500 companies were net sellers for 14 straight weeks as the market rallied, according to data compiled by InsiderScmaore.com.

The S&P 500 today slid below 900.77, its average level over the past 200 days, in a bearish signal to analysts who study charts to predict market movements.

Nouriel Roubini, the New York University economics professor who predicted the financial crisis, said the global economy may suffer another slump due to higher oil prices and widening budget deficits.

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Lawmakers back a health insurance mandate

A Republican senator with a leading role in the health care debate says Congress is more likely to support requiring individuals to buy health insurance than mandating coverage through employers.

Sen. Chuck Grassley of Iowa says there is nothing wrong with requiring individuals to buy health insurance. He plays down the argument that it's an infringement on individual freedom.

Grassley says that an individual mandate for health coverage doesn't tie coverage to employment.

Grassley says he believes there is bipartisan consensus on the issue. Bills in the House and Senate would require people to purchase insurance if they could afford it.

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Politics puts Insurance regulators in a bind

In May 2005, a coalition of insurance companies hosted a fundraiser for Jim Poolman, the elected insurance commissioner of North Dakota, at a Washington restaurant called the Caucus Room.

Two months later, Poolman helped spearhead the coalition's efforts to change the way life insurance is regulated. The change would alter long-standing prescriptions for how much money insurers must keep in reserve -- a crucial variable that can influence their profits, the premiums they charge consumers and their ability to pay claims.

The initiative, which has been under development ever since, is now entering an advanced stage and is one of the prime items on the agenda as state insurance regulators from across the country gather this weekend in Minneapolis.

At a time when the Obama administration is trying to figure out what role the federal government should play in the regulation of insurers, the move to remake policy presents a case study of the tensions within the current system of state-based regulation.

Although campaign fundraising is standard fare for politicians, the need to engage in it is unusual for financial regulators. They are typically appointed, keeping them at least a step removed from the intersection of money and politics. But in 11 states plus the Virgin Islands, state insurance commissioners must run for office, and some take contributions from the interests they regulate. Through an assembly of state regulators called the National Association of Insurance Commissioners, they can help shape regulatory policy on a national scale.

What's more, insurance regulators routinely move from wielding power over industry to working for the industry. As in other areas of government, the revolving door can give officials an incentive to please the businesses they oversee while they have the power.

"The downside of running for office, being an elected official, is having to raise money. And that constantly opens you up to scrutiny," Poolman said, "because there always could be a perception that there's a self-interest involved with somebody giving you a contribution."

Poolman, who is now an insurance industry consultant, said he supported industry positions when he agreed with them and opposed the industry when he thought it was wrong.

The coalition that helped Poolman raise money in 2005 was created to transform one of the fundamentals of insurance regulation. The amount of money insurers must keep in reserve had long been dictated by a set of standard formulas. In place of the formulas, the coalition wanted regulators to create a system of "principles-based reserving," which would give insurers greater discretion.

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